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Japan: nominal GDP forecast to rank sixth in the world in 2027

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AT A GLANCE

A forecast result reported on 14 October, not a ranking already observed. Exchange rates matter.

Photo of the office district of Marunouchi, Tokyo
Kakidai · CC BY-SA 4.0
In this article

Today’s information

TV Asahi reports on 14 October that the IMF’s latest outlook forecasts Japan in sixth place in the world for nominal GDP in 2027, behind India and the United Kingdom, with an effect from the weak yen.

What does GDP measure?

Gross domestic product measures the value added produced in a country over a period. It directly measures neither each person’s pay nor quality of life.

Nominal or real?

Nominal GDP uses current prices. Real GDP corrects for price changes. A comparison in dollars also depends on the exchange rate.

How to read a forecast

It is a projection for 2027, not a final result. It may change with growth, prices and exchange rates. We distinguish the reported forecast from the general explanation of the indicator.

LANGUAGE NOTES

Learn the grammar

Explained in English

French grammar

Learn sentence patterns and usage from the article’s own sentences.

01Pronominal verbs
Structure

se / s’ + verb

In the article
Il s’agit d’une projection pour 2027, pas d’un résultat définitif.
Key points

A pronominal verb is used with a reflexive pronoun (me, te, se, nous, vous) before the verb. It can mean “do to oneself”, “be done” or “do to each other”. In the news, se traduire (to result in), se tenir (to take place), s’agir de (to be a matter of) and se diffuser (to spread) are frequent. The pronoun changes with the subject (il se tient / ils se tiennent / je me souviens).

02Pouvoir: ability and possibility
Structure

peut / peuvent / pourrait + infinitive

In the article
Elle peut évoluer avec la croissance, les prix et les changes.
Key points

Put a base-form verb after pouvoir. Peut means “can” or “may”; the conditional pourrait gives a more reserved possibility, “might”. It does not necessarily mean implementation is settled.

03The construction il s’agit de
Structure

il s’agit de + noun / infinitive

In the article
Il s’agit d’une projection pour 2027, pas d’un résultat définitif.
Key points

It explains what something is about: “it is a matter of…”. The il is not a particular man but a formal subject of this construction. The negative il ne s’agit pas de means “this is not about…”.

04Dates and their prepositions
Structure

le + 日付 / du … au …

In the article
Un résultat prévisionnel rapporté le 14 octobre, pas un classement déjà constaté.
Key points

Le 15 octobre means “on 15 October”. Distinguish the le before a date from the le that marks a weekly habit like a weekday. Du is de + le and au is à + le, so decide the meaning from the verb and period expressions around them. Their role depends on the group: a range of dates, the date of a bulletin or another complement.

05The uses of dans
Structure

dans + noun phrase

In the article
Le produit intérieur brut mesure la valeur ajoutée produite dans un pays sur une période.
Key points

Dans means “in, inside” for places, but also for a scope such as a system or period. With future time, dans deux jours means “in two days”. In the article’s example, check what it is “inside” and which scope it marks. Identify the value of dans in the passage.

06Coordination with et
Structure

word / group / clause + et + …

In the article
TV Asahi rapporte le 14 octobre que les dernières perspectives du FMI prévoient le Japon au sixième rang mondial pour le PIB nominal en 2027, derrière l’Inde et le Royaume-Uni, avec un effet du yen faible.
Key points

Et joins not only words but also groups of nouns and whole clauses. Spot the two elements playing the same role to break up a long sentence. Et does not necessarily express cause and effect.

07Definite articles
Structure

le / la / l’ / les + noun

In the article
Les taux de change comptent.
Key points

Le is masculine singular, la feminine singular and les plural. Before a vowel or a silent h, singular le and la become l’. The definite article points to something already known or a general concept, so look at the context.

Explained in English

Japanese grammar

Understand the structure and usage from the text.

01Plan, outlook and policy
Structure

〜の予定 / 〜見込み / 〜方針

In the article
テレ朝NEWSは14日、IMFの最新の世界経済見通しで、日本の名目GDPが2027年に世界6位になる見込みだと報じました。
Key points

予定 is a plan, 見込み a forecast and 方針 a course of action or intention. None of them asserts that something has already been carried out. Note the difference from expressions such as “決まりました”.

02Polite negation and plain form
Structure

〜ではありません / 〜ではない

In the article
一人ひとりの給料や暮らしやすさを直接示す数字ではありません。
Key points

They negate a noun and similar content. “ではありません” is the polite form and “ではない” the plain form. “成立ではありません” shows that it cannot be said to have been concluded.

03Indicating the subject: について
Structure

noun + について

In the article
IMFの見通しについての14日の報道。
Key points

As in “予算について”, it shows the topic to be talked about or explained. In the form “〜についての報道”, の is added so that the group qualifies the following noun.

04Giving examples with など
Structure

noun / expression + など

In the article
確定した実績ではなく、成長率や物価、為替などが変われば推計も変わり得ます。
Key points

“暴言など” gives “abusive language” as one example. It is not necessarily a closed list of only the things named. It also helps when reading the scope of a news story.

05The polite past ました
Structure

verb stem (連用形) + ました

In the article
テレ朝NEWSは14日、IMFの最新の世界経済見通しで、日本の名目GDPが2027年に世界6位になる見込みだと報じました。
Key points

In “発表しました”, ました makes a verb polite past. The negative is “ませんでした”. Read the actual date together with the date and time in the text.

06Quoting with と: content and report
Structure

plain-form sentence + と + verbe de parole (報じる, 説明する…)

In the article
テレ朝NEWSは14日、IMFの最新の世界経済見通しで、日本の名目GDPが2027年に世界6位になる見込みだと報じました。
Key points

と takes the content that is reported or explained. In “改定する方針だと報じました”, “改定する方針だ” is what the report said. Separating the content from who said it and how makes long sentences easier to read.

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